{"id":365,"date":"2020-05-03T23:00:27","date_gmt":"2020-05-03T23:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/peterzhang.us\/?p=365"},"modified":"2024-01-17T03:23:10","modified_gmt":"2024-01-17T03:23:10","slug":"covid-19usa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peterzhang.us\/?p=365","title":{"rendered":"Are we overestimated COVID-19? \u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u9ad8\u4f30\u4e86\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f32020\u5e745\u67082\u53f7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08COVID-19\uff09\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a64,283 (1<\/a>, 2<\/a>) \u3002\u6839\u636e\u53ef\u67e5\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd2017\u5e74\u603b\u4eba\u6570325,100,000\u3001\u6ce8\u518c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u65702,813,503\u3001\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e3a\u6bcf10\u4e07\u4eba\u4e2d865.4\u4f8b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3b\u8981\u6b7b\u56e0\u53ca\u4eba\u6570\uff1a<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n
\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\uff1a647,457<\/p>\n

\u764c\u75c7\uff1a599,108<\/p>\n

\u610f\u5916\u4e8b\u6545\uff08\u610f\u5916\u4f24\u5bb3\uff09\uff1a169,936<\/p>\n

\u6162\u6027\u4e0b\u547c\u5438\u9053\u75be\u75c5\uff1a160,201<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u98ce\uff08\u8111\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\uff09\uff1a146,383<\/p>\n

\u963f\u5c14\u8328\u6d77\u9ed8\u6c0f\u75c5\uff1a121,404<\/p>\n

\u7cd6\u5c3f\u75c5\uff1a83,564<\/p>\n

\u6d41\u611f\u548c\u80ba\u708e\uff1a55,072<\/p>\n

\u80be\u708e\uff0c\u80be\u75c5\u7efc\u5408\u5f81\u548c\u80be\u75c5\uff1a50,633<\/p>\n

\u6545\u610f\u81ea\u6211\u4f24\u5bb3\uff08\u81ea\u6740\uff09\uff1a47,173<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff1a2017\u5e74\u6700\u7ec8\u6570\u636e\u300b ( 3<\/a> )<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b7b\u4ea1\u6570\u548c2017\u5e74\u6d41\u611f\u80ba\u708e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7ea7\u522b\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u91cd\u521b\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6446\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u66f4\u56e0\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u800c\u88ab\u8feb\u5931\u4e1a\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c4\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c06\u4e0a\u5347\u81f316.1\uff05\uff0c\u96c7\u4e3b\u8981\u88c1\u63892200\u4e07\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u521b\u9020\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4efd\u5de5\u4f5c(4<\/a>)\u3002\u4e3a\u534f\u52a9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5168\u6c11\u5ea6\u8fc7\u75ab\u60c5\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u51fa\u70892\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ebe\u56f0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5927\u5f00\u5370\u949e\u673a\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6551\u63f4\uff085<\/a>\uff0c6<\/a>\uff09!<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4f17\u5f00\u59cb\u6297\u8bae\u793a\u5a01\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u751f\u5b58\u6743\u548c\u81ea\u7531\u6743\uff08\u4eba\u6743\uff09(7<\/a>)\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u59cb\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5371\u5bb3\uff0c\u52a0\u7d27\u5168\u6c11\u68c0\u6d4b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u8d70\u5411\u5168\u6c11\u514d\u75ab\uff088<\/a>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5c06\u4fc3\u6210\u5168\u7403\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u89e3\u4f53!<\/p>\n

\u6458\u5f15<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. 2019\u5e74\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08COVID-19\uff09<\/em> https:\/\/chinese.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/cases-updates\/cases-in-us.html<\/a><\/li>\n
  2. CDC: US COVID-19 death toll likely higher than reported\u00a0<\/em> \u00a0https:\/\/www.cidrap.umn.edu\/news-perspective\/2020\/04\/cdc-us-covid-19-death-toll-likely-higher-reported<\/a><\/li>\n
  3. Deaths: Final Data for 2017<\/em>\u00a0 https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/nchs\/data\/nvsr\/nvsr68\/nvsr68_09-508.pdf<\/a><\/li>\n
  4. April Jobs Report Likely to Show Highest Unemployment Rate on Record<\/em>\u00a0 https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/april-jobs-report-likely-to-show-highest-unemployment-rate-on-record-11588514401<\/a><\/li>\n
  5. Summary of COVID-19 bills and Available Resources<\/em> https:\/\/www.wyden.senate.gov\/imo\/media\/doc\/Summary%20of%20COVID-19%20bills%20and%20Available%20Resources.pdf<\/a><\/li>\n
  6. The Coronavirus Crisis Has Changed Money<\/em> Foreverhttps:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/billybambrough\/2020\/04\/06\/the-coronavirus-covid-19-crisis-has-changed-money-forever\/#3e6b77db573f<\/a><\/li>\n
  7. US anti-lockdown rallies could cause surge in Covid-19 cases, experts warn<\/em> https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2020\/apr\/20\/us-protests-lockdown-coronavirus-cases-surge-warning<\/a><\/li>\n
  8. 70%\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u611f\u67d3\uff0c\u591a\u5dde\u653e\u677e\u7ba1\u63a7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u7ec8\u8fd8\u662f\u8d70\u5411\u4e86\u5168\u6c11\u514d\u75ab<\/em> https:\/\/kknews.cc\/health\/zrmaorl.html<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \u00a0 \u622a\u81f32020\u5e745\u67082\u53f7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08COVID-19\uff09\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a64,283 (1, 2) \u3002\u6839\u636e\u53ef\u67e5\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd2017\u5e74\u603b\u4eba\u6570325,100,000\u3001\u6ce8\u518c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u65702,813,503\u3001\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e3a\u6bcf10\u4e07\u4eba\u4e2d865.4\u4f8b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002 \u4e3b\u8981\u6b7b\u56e0\u53ca\u4eba\u6570\uff1a \u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\uff1a647,457 \u764c\u75c7\uff1a599,108 \u610f\u5916\u4e8b\u6545\uff08\u610f\u5916\u4f24\u5bb3\uff09\uff1a169,936 \u6162\u6027\u4e0b\u547c\u5438\u9053\u75be\u75c5\uff1a160,201 \u4e2d\u98ce\uff08\u8111\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\uff09\uff1a146,383 \u963f\u5c14\u8328\u6d77\u9ed8\u6c0f\u75c5\uff1a121,404 \u7cd6\u5c3f\u75c5\uff1a83,564 \u6d41\u611f\u548c\u80ba\u708e\uff1a55,072 \u80be\u708e\uff0c\u80be\u75c5\u7efc\u5408\u5f81\u548c\u80be\u75c5\uff1a50,633 \u6545\u610f\u81ea\u6211\u4f24\u5bb3\uff08\u81ea\u6740\uff09\uff1a47,173 \u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff1a2017\u5e74\u6700\u7ec8\u6570\u636e\u300b ( 3 )   \u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b7b\u4ea1\u6570\u548c2017\u5e74\u6d41\u611f\u80ba\u708e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7ea7\u522b\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u91cd\u521b\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6446\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u66f4\u56e0\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u800c\u88ab\u8feb\u5931\u4e1a\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c4\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c06\u4e0a\u5347\u81f316.1\uff05\uff0c\u96c7\u4e3b\u8981\u88c1\u63892200\u4e07\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u521b\u9020\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4efd\u5de5\u4f5c(4)\u3002\u4e3a\u534f\u52a9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5168\u6c11\u5ea6\u8fc7\u75ab\u60c5\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u51fa\u70892\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ebe\u56f0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5927\u5f00\u5370\u949e\u673a\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6551\u63f4\uff085\uff0c6\uff09! \u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4f17\u5f00\u59cb\u6297\u8bae\u793a\u5a01\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u751f\u5b58\u6743\u548c\u81ea\u7531\u6743\uff08\u4eba\u6743\uff09(7)\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u59cb\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5371\u5bb3\uff0c\u52a0\u7d27\u5168\u6c11\u68c0\u6d4b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u8d70\u5411\u5168\u6c11\u514d\u75ab\uff088\uff09\u3002 \u4f46\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5c06\u4fc3\u6210\u5168\u7403\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u89e3\u4f53! \u6458\u5f15 2019\u5e74\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08COVID-19\uff09 https:\/\/chinese.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/cases-updates\/cases-in-us.html CDC: US COVID-19 death toll likely higher than reported\u00a0 \u00a0https:\/\/www.cidrap.umn.edu\/news-perspective\/2020\/04\/cdc-us-covid-19-death-toll-likely-higher-reported Deaths: Final Data … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nAre we overestimated COVID-19? \u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u9ad8\u4f30\u4e86\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\uff1f - Dr. Peter Zhang<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peterzhang.us\/?p=365\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Are we overestimated COVID-19? \u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u9ad8\u4f30\u4e86\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\uff1f - Dr. Peter Zhang\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00a0 \u622a\u81f32020\u5e745\u67082\u53f7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08COVID-19\uff09\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a64,283 (1, 2) \u3002\u6839\u636e\u53ef\u67e5\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd2017\u5e74\u603b\u4eba\u6570325,100,000\u3001\u6ce8\u518c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u65702,813,503\u3001\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e3a\u6bcf10\u4e07\u4eba\u4e2d865.4\u4f8b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002 \u4e3b\u8981\u6b7b\u56e0\u53ca\u4eba\u6570\uff1a \u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\uff1a647,457 \u764c\u75c7\uff1a599,108 \u610f\u5916\u4e8b\u6545\uff08\u610f\u5916\u4f24\u5bb3\uff09\uff1a169,936 \u6162\u6027\u4e0b\u547c\u5438\u9053\u75be\u75c5\uff1a160,201 \u4e2d\u98ce\uff08\u8111\u8840\u7ba1\u75be\u75c5\uff09\uff1a146,383 \u963f\u5c14\u8328\u6d77\u9ed8\u6c0f\u75c5\uff1a121,404 \u7cd6\u5c3f\u75c5\uff1a83,564 \u6d41\u611f\u548c\u80ba\u708e\uff1a55,072 \u80be\u708e\uff0c\u80be\u75c5\u7efc\u5408\u5f81\u548c\u80be\u75c5\uff1a50,633 \u6545\u610f\u81ea\u6211\u4f24\u5bb3\uff08\u81ea\u6740\uff09\uff1a47,173 \u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff1a2017\u5e74\u6700\u7ec8\u6570\u636e\u300b ( 3 )   \u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u6b7b\u4ea1\u6570\u548c2017\u5e74\u6d41\u611f\u80ba\u708e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7ea7\u522b\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u91cd\u521b\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6446\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u66f4\u56e0\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u800c\u88ab\u8feb\u5931\u4e1a\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c4\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c06\u4e0a\u5347\u81f316.1\uff05\uff0c\u96c7\u4e3b\u8981\u88c1\u63892200\u4e07\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u521b\u9020\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4efd\u5de5\u4f5c(4)\u3002\u4e3a\u534f\u52a9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5168\u6c11\u5ea6\u8fc7\u75ab\u60c5\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u51fa\u70892\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ebe\u56f0\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5927\u5f00\u5370\u949e\u673a\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6551\u63f4\uff085\uff0c6\uff09! \u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4f17\u5f00\u59cb\u6297\u8bae\u793a\u5a01\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u751f\u5b58\u6743\u548c\u81ea\u7531\u6743\uff08\u4eba\u6743\uff09(7)\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u59cb\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5371\u5bb3\uff0c\u52a0\u7d27\u5168\u6c11\u68c0\u6d4b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u8d70\u5411\u5168\u6c11\u514d\u75ab\uff088\uff09\u3002 \u4f46\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5c06\u4fc3\u6210\u5168\u7403\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u89e3\u4f53! \u6458\u5f15 2019\u5e74\u65b0\u578b\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u80ba\u708e\uff08COVID-19\uff09 https:\/\/chinese.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/cases-updates\/cases-in-us.html CDC: US COVID-19 death toll likely higher than reported\u00a0 \u00a0https:\/\/www.cidrap.umn.edu\/news-perspective\/2020\/04\/cdc-us-covid-19-death-toll-likely-higher-reported Deaths: Final Data … Continue reading →\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/peterzhang.us\/?p=365\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Dr. Peter Zhang\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-05-03T23:00:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-17T03:23:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/peterzhang.us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/covid-19.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peterzhang.us\/?p=365\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/peterzhang.us\/?p=365\",\"name\":\"Are we overestimated COVID-19? 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